NHL Projections

NHL · FS window · built Aug 10, 2026 12:53
All Models

BetOnline has not posted skater props for these games yet -- they normally go up on game day. Game lines are below.

Game lines

Team goals go into a Poisson model for each side. Regulation ties are split between the two teams rather than left as a third outcome, and a tied game is credited with one extra goal for the overtime or shootout winner — a 3-3 regulation game settles as a seven-goal total, never six. Proj is projected goals for that team on a moneyline row and the expected game total on a total row. Because the two sides are modelled independently, close games resolve in regulation more often here than in reality, so favourites read slightly high — treat moneyline edges under about 3% as noise.

GameSelectionMarketLineSideProjWinMktPriceEV
CHI @ VGKCHIMoneylineCHI2.6644%31%+216+39.5%
VAN @ EDMUnderTotal6.5Under5.9260%48%-101+19.5%
NYR @ BOSUnderTotal5.5Under5.7651%47%+106+6.0%
FLA @ CARCARMoneylineCAR3.1757%53%-120+5.0%
CHI @ VGKUnderTotal5.5Under5.8350%46%+109+4.9%
FLA @ CARUnderTotal6.5Under6.0757%54%-125+3.1%
MTL @ TORMTLMoneylineMTL3.1753%50%-109+2.1%
MTL @ TORUnderTotal6.5Under6.2854%52%-118-0.7%
VAN @ EDMEDMMoneylineEDM3.5571%70%-255-1.0%
NYR @ BOSBOSMoneylineBOS2.8853%52%-118-1.7%
NYR @ BOSNYRMoneylineNYR2.7047%48%+104-4.6%
MTL @ TOROverTotal6.5Over6.2846%48%+102-6.5%
VAN @ EDMVANMoneylineVAN2.2229%30%+220-7.4%
MTL @ TORTORMoneylineTOR2.9547%50%-105-8.7%
CHI @ VGKOverTotal5.5Over5.8350%54%-125-10.3%
FLA @ CAROverTotal6.5Over6.0743%46%+109-10.7%
NYR @ BOSOverTotal5.5Over5.7649%53%-122-11.7%
FLA @ CARFLAMoneylineFLA2.7443%47%+106-11.9%
CHI @ VGKVGKMoneylineVGK3.0056%69%-250-21.8%
VAN @ EDMOverTotal6.5Over5.9240%52%-115-25.3%