NCAA Men's Basketball Projections

NCAA MBB · built Aug 10, 2026 12:58
All Models

6 games. Tap a row for the matchup: each team's rotation, what its units are worth against this specific opponent, and who is on the floor. 2 of 6 project within half a standard deviation of even — the model is saying it cannot separate those.

DateAwayPtsHomePtsTotalPossFavoriteByWin%
Mon Nov 2Chicago State64.9Texas78.0142.967Texas13.084%

Chicago State away

Projected points64.9
Off rating /100100.5
Def rating /100110.1
Net /100-9.7
Tempo (poss)68.0
Home edge /100+3.0
Units vs this opponent (usage, pts/100)
S. Byard, B. Bush, D. Cockrill III, C. Sands, C. Ray3% · 98.6
S. Byard, B. Bush, D. Cockrill III, M. Tankersley, C. Ray8% · 98.2
B. Bush, D. Cockrill III, D. Cox, M. Tankersley, C. Ray3% · 98.2
B. Bush, D. Cockrill III, M. Tankersley, J. Owens, C. Ray4% · 97.0
B. Bush, D. Cox, M. Tankersley, C. Sands, C. Ray3% · 94.7
D. Cox, M. Tankersley, C. Sands, C. Ray, M. Robinson6% · 93.4
On floor share · net /100
CJ Ray81% · -1.5
Marcus Tankersley74% · -4.5
Braelon Bush56% · -1.4
Doyel Cockrill III56% · -0.1
Corey Sands42% · -2.6
Stephen Byard39% · -1.4
Dailliss Cox36% · -1.7
Malek Robinson34% · -1.5
Joseph Owens23% · -1.6

Texas home

Projected points78.0
Off rating /100111.6
Def rating /100104.1
Net /100+7.5
Tempo (poss)68.9
Home edge /100+3.0
Units vs this opponent (usage, pts/100)
C. Weaver, T. Mark, S. Wilcher, M. Vokietaitis, D. Swain5% · 119.8
J. Pope, C. Weaver, T. Mark, M. Vokietaitis, D. Swain7% · 118.9
J. Pope, N. Codie, T. Mark, M. Vokietaitis, D. Swain4% · 118.1
C. Heide, J. Pope, C. Weaver, M. Vokietaitis, D. Swain4% · 116.9
C. Heide, J. Pope, S. Wilcher, M. Vokietaitis, D. Swain4% · 114.4
C. Heide, J. Pope, T. Mark, M. Vokietaitis, D. Swain18% · 114.2
On floor share · net /100
Dailyn Swain83% · +2.8
Jordan Pope72% · +1.6
Tramon Mark71% · +1.8
Matas Vokietaitis66% · +1.0
Camden Heide57% · +1.2
Chendall Weaver52% · +2.0
Simeon Wilcher48% · +0.9
Lassina Traore26% · +1.0
Nic Codie22% · -0.9
Mon Nov 2East Texas A&M68.3Oklahoma80.7149.069Oklahoma12.582%

East Texas A&M away

Projected points68.3
Off rating /100102.4
Def rating /100108.7
Net /100-6.3
Tempo (poss)69.7
Home edge /100+3.0
Units vs this opponent (usage, pts/100)
R. Harrison, G. Hunt, D. Garcia, V. Sigona, N. Pagotto4% · 102.1
J. Taylor, G. Hunt, D. Garcia, V. Sigona, N. Pagotto3% · 100.9
T. Mosher, R. Harrison, G. Hunt, D. Garcia, N. Pagotto16% · 100.8
L. Fields, R. Harrison, G. Hunt, D. Garcia, N. Pagotto4% · 97.3
J. Taylor, E. Phelps, G. Hunt, D. Garcia, N. Pagotto4% · 94.0
J. Taylor, E. Phelps, R. Harrison, G. Hunt, V. Sigona3% · 93.6
On floor share · net /100
Gianni Hunt83% · +0.2
Ronnie Harrison73% · -2.3
Damian Garcia67% · -0.8
Noah Pagotto66% · -0.4
Vinny Sigona44% · -1.6
Josh Taylor42% · -2.1
Evan Phelps33% · -2.8
Tay Mosher33% · -0.6
London Fields27% · -2.6

Oklahoma home

Projected points80.7
Off rating /100113.1
Def rating /100104.6
Net /100+8.5
Tempo (poss)69.1
Home edge /100+3.0
Units vs this opponent (usage, pts/100)
D. Reid, N. Pack, X. Brown, T. Davis, 2229005% · 120.3
D. Reid, N. Pack, X. Brown, M. Wague, J. Jones2% · 117.5
D. Reid, X. Brown, M. Wague, J. Jones, T. Davis3% · 117.1
D. Reid, N. Pack, X. Brown, M. Wague, T. Davis21% · 116.9
N. Pack, X. Brown, M. Wague, J. Jones, T. Davis4% · 116.6
D. Reid, N. Pack, X. Brown, J. Jones, T. Davis2% · 111.4
On floor share · net /100
Xzayvier Brown79% · +0.6
Nijel Pack76% · +3.8
Tae Davis74% · +1.5
Derrion Reid69% · -0.6
Mohamed Wague54% · +3.7
Jadon Jones43% · +2.8
Dayton Forsythe34% · +0.8
22290024% · +2.6
Jeff Nwankwo19% · -0.3
Mon Nov 2Tennessee Tech73.8Mississippi State79.3153.172Mississippi State5.565%

Tennessee Tech away

Projected points73.8
Off rating /100104.2
Def rating /100107.3
Net /100-3.2
Tempo (poss)69.4
Home edge /100+3.0
Units vs this opponent (usage, pts/100)
B. Muntu, M. Cameron, G. Slatten, J. Nicholls, T. Owens11% · 104.9
B. Muntu, J. Nicholls, J. Florence, T. Owens, J. Whitted2% · 103.1
B. Muntu, D. Pounds, M. Cameron, T. Owens, J. Whitted4% · 102.5
B. Muntu, D. Pounds, M. Cameron, G. Slatten, T. Owens6% · 101.1
B. Muntu, D. Pounds, M. Cameron, J. Florence, T. Owens2% · 101.0
B. Muntu, D. Pounds, M. Ferguson, M. Cameron, T. Owens5% · 100.8
On floor share · net /100
Ty Owens72% · +0.8
Mekhi Cameron69% · -1.4
Brandon Muntu65% · -0.2
JaJuan Nicholls46% · +0.3
Dani Pounds44% · +0.2
Ja'Quavian Florence41% · -1.2
Grant Slatten36% · -0.7
Malik Ferguson31% · -2.1
Jacobe Whitted28% · -0.6

Mississippi State home

Projected points79.3
Off rating /100108.7
Def rating /100106.6
Net /100+2.1
Tempo (poss)72.0
Home edge /100+3.0
Units vs this opponent (usage, pts/100)
S. Jones Jr., J. Hubbard, Q. Ballard, J. Epps, S. Macura4% · 112.2
J. McGhee, S. Jones Jr., J. Hubbard, Q. Ballard, A. Achor7% · 110.1
J. McGhee, S. Jones Jr., J. Hubbard, J. Davis-Fleming, S. Macura4% · 108.7
S. Jones Jr., J. Hubbard, A. Achor, J. Epps, J. Davis-Fleming4% · 108.5
S. Jones Jr., J. Hubbard, Q. Ballard, A. Achor, J. Epps12% · 107.9
S. Jones Jr., J. Hubbard, J. Epps, J. Davis-Fleming, S. Macura5% · 106.9
On floor share · net /100
Josh Hubbard85% · +0.8
Shawn Jones Jr.64% · +0.1
Jayden Epps64% · -0.2
Ja'Borri McGhee55% · -0.1
Quincy Ballard51% · +2.4
Jamarion Davis-Fleming48% · +0.4
Achor Achor47% · +0.2
Sergej Macura40% · +0.8
King Grace20% · -0.8
Mon Nov 2North Carolina Central68.5Georgia84.7153.271Georgia16.288%

North Carolina Central away

Projected points68.5
Off rating /100102.0
Def rating /100110.4
Net /100-8.4
Tempo (poss)67.8
Home edge /100+3.0
Units vs this opponent (usage, pts/100)
D. Johnson, K. Carvey, T. Carpenter, J. Slack, G. Lattimore9% · 99.9
K. Okworogwo, D. Johnson, K. Carvey, T. Carpenter, G. Lattimore6% · 96.7
K. Okworogwo, D. Johnson, T. Carpenter, J. Slack, G. Lattimore9% · 96.4
K. Okworogwo, D. Johnson, K. Davis, J. Slack, G. Lattimore13% · 94.5
K. Okworogwo, D. Johnson, K. Davis, T. Carpenter, G. Lattimore11% · 93.9
K. Okworogwo, K. Davis, R. Archey, J. Slack, G. Lattimore4% · 91.6
On floor share · net /100
Gage Lattimore89% · -2.0
Dionte Johnson82% · -0.3
Kelechi Okworogwo69% · -1.9
Tekao Carpenter62% · -1.9
Kyric Davis58% · -2.6
Jae Slack54% · -0.9
Khouri Carvey42% · -0.9
Ryan Archey14% · -6.7
Ramondo Battle II12% · -0.7

Georgia home

Projected points84.7
Off rating /100113.5
Def rating /100103.7
Net /100+9.8
Tempo (poss)72.8
Home edge /100+3.0
Units vs this opponent (usage, pts/100)
B. Cain, S. Cyril, M. Millender, K. Catchings, K. Stagg3% · 124.8
B. Cain, S. Cyril, M. Millender, J. Wilkinson, K. Catchings5% · 121.8
B. Cain, S. Cyril, M. Millender, J. Ross, K. Catchings3% · 121.3
B. Cain, S. Cyril, J. Ross, J. Wilkinson, K. Catchings13% · 120.2
B. Cain, S. Cyril, D. James, J. Ross, J. Wilkinson3% · 116.2
J. Abson, D. James, J. Bailey, M. Millender, J. Wilkins4% · 112.8
On floor share · net /100
Blue Cain69% · +3.2
Marcus Millender62% · +3.2
Jeremiah Wilkinson61% · +0.8
Kanon Catchings58% · +2.9
Somtochukwu Cyril53% · +3.6
Jordan Ross51% · +0.4
Dylan James37% · -0.4
Kareem Stagg30% · -0.1
Justin Bailey29% · +2.0
Mon Nov 2Miami73.6Florida78.1151.772Florida4.563%

Miami neutral

Projected points73.6
Off rating /100113.9
Def rating /100102.0
Net /100+11.9
Tempo (poss)69.6
Home edge /100+3.0
Units vs this opponent (usage, pts/100)
T. Donaldson, T. Washington, M. Reneau, S. Altuntas, S. Henderson3% · 102.5
T. Donaldson, E. Udeh Jr., T. Washington, M. Reneau, S. Henderson16% · 102.3
T. Donaldson, E. Udeh Jr., T. Washington, S. Henderson, T. Malovec4% · 102.1
T. Donaldson, T. Washington, M. Reneau, D. Allen, S. Henderson4% · 102.1
T. Donaldson, E. Udeh Jr., M. Reneau, D. Allen, S. Henderson15% · 101.8
T. Donaldson, T. Washington, M. Reneau, S. Henderson, T. Malovec3% · 100.0
On floor share · net /100
Tre Donaldson87% · +4.4
Shelton Henderson80% · +1.7
Malik Reneau75% · +2.5
Ernest Udeh Jr.65% · +3.4
Tru Washington62% · +1.8
Dante Allen51% · +1.3
Timotej Malovec36% · +0.6
Salih Altuntas17% · +0.8
Noam Dovrat17% · +2.1

Florida neutral

Projected points78.1
Off rating /100116.9
Def rating /10097.7
Net /100+19.2
Tempo (poss)71.6
Home edge /100+3.0
Units vs this opponent (usage, pts/100)
R. Chinyelu, T. Haugh, U. Klavzar, I. Brown, X. Lee4% · 113.6
A. Condon, T. Haugh, M. Handlogten, X. Lee, B. Fland8% · 110.9
A. Condon, T. Haugh, M. Handlogten, U. Klavzar, B. Fland8% · 110.7
A. Condon, R. Chinyelu, T. Haugh, U. Klavzar, B. Fland7% · 109.6
A. Condon, R. Chinyelu, T. Haugh, X. Lee, B. Fland28% · 105.6
A. Condon, R. Chinyelu, T. Haugh, U. Klavzar, X. Lee4% · 105.6
On floor share · net /100
Thomas Haugh86% · +4.8
Boogie Fland78% · +4.0
Alex Condon75% · +4.1
Xaivian Lee71% · +4.1
Rueben Chinyelu64% · +4.4
Urban Klavzar53% · +2.0
Micah Handlogten36% · +4.4
Isaiah Brown29% · +2.3
CJ Ingram5% · -0.5
Mon Nov 2Lafayette69.2Butler78.1147.370Butler8.975%

Lafayette away

Projected points69.2
Off rating /100103.2
Def rating /100108.3
Net /100-5.1
Tempo (poss)68.7
Home edge /100+3.0
Units vs this opponent (usage, pts/100)
M. Butler, R. Pettit, C. Williams, A. Phillips, S. Jackson5% · 101.5
M. Butler, R. Pettit, C. Williams, A. Phillips, C. Humphrey-Rembert6% · 101.0
M. Butler, R. Pettit, A. Phillips, S. Jackson, C. Humphrey-Rembert4% · 98.0
M. Butler, C. Williams, A. Phillips, C. Humphrey-Rembert, L. Bevilacqua4% · 97.4
M. Butler, M. Bednostin, C. Williams, A. Phillips, C. Humphrey-Rembert6% · 97.0
M. Butler, C. Williams, A. Phillips, S. Jackson, C. Humphrey-Rembert27% · 96.4
On floor share · net /100
Mark Butler88% · -1.0
Andrew Phillips84% · -1.3
Caleb Williams80% · -1.4
Christian Humphrey-Rembert77% · -1.1
Shareef Jackson54% · -0.9
Ryan Pettit46% · +0.4
Misha Bednostin21% · -0.9
Kai Murdock18% · +0.6
Luke Bevilacqua15% · -3.4

Butler home

Projected points78.1
Off rating /100109.6
Def rating /100106.7
Net /100+2.9
Tempo (poss)70.3
Home edge /100+3.0
Units vs this opponent (usage, pts/100)
M. Ajayi, J. Kaiser Jr., F. Bizjack, D. Jones, J. Jackson4% · 114.9
M. Ajayi, J. Kaiser Jr., F. Bizjack, D. Jones, E. Oliogu-Elabor7% · 113.4
M. Ajayi, J. Kaiser Jr., F. Bizjack, D. Jones, A. Robinson10% · 112.2
M. Ajayi, Y. Butler, J. Kaiser Jr., F. Bizjack, Y. Traore4% · 111.2
M. Ajayi, J. Kaiser Jr., F. Bizjack, Y. Traore, E. Oliogu-Elabor5% · 108.4
M. Ajayi, E. Haywood, F. Bizjack, Y. Traore, E. Oliogu-Elabor4% · 106.4
On floor share · net /100
Michael Ajayi84% · +1.9
Finley Bizjack83% · +0.1
Jamie Kaiser Jr.69% · +0.8
Drayton Jones49% · +2.1
Yohan Traore47% · -1.1
Evan Haywood43% · -0.1
Yame Butler31% · +0.2
Azavier Robinson31% · +1.8
Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor30% · -1.9
Mon Nov 2
Chicago State65
Texas78
Texas by 13.084% wintotal 142.967 poss

Chicago State away

Projected points64.9
Off rating /100100.5
Def rating /100110.1
Net /100-9.7
Tempo (poss)68.0
Home edge /100+3.0
Units vs this opponent (usage, pts/100)
S. Byard, B. Bush, D. Cockrill III, C. Sands, C. Ray3% · 98.6
S. Byard, B. Bush, D. Cockrill III, M. Tankersley, C. Ray8% · 98.2
B. Bush, D. Cockrill III, D. Cox, M. Tankersley, C. Ray3% · 98.2
B. Bush, D. Cockrill III, M. Tankersley, J. Owens, C. Ray4% · 97.0
B. Bush, D. Cox, M. Tankersley, C. Sands, C. Ray3% · 94.7
D. Cox, M. Tankersley, C. Sands, C. Ray, M. Robinson6% · 93.4
On floor share · net /100
CJ Ray81% · -1.5
Marcus Tankersley74% · -4.5
Braelon Bush56% · -1.4
Doyel Cockrill III56% · -0.1
Corey Sands42% · -2.6
Stephen Byard39% · -1.4
Dailliss Cox36% · -1.7
Malek Robinson34% · -1.5
Joseph Owens23% · -1.6

Texas home

Projected points78.0
Off rating /100111.6
Def rating /100104.1
Net /100+7.5
Tempo (poss)68.9
Home edge /100+3.0
Units vs this opponent (usage, pts/100)
C. Weaver, T. Mark, S. Wilcher, M. Vokietaitis, D. Swain5% · 119.8
J. Pope, C. Weaver, T. Mark, M. Vokietaitis, D. Swain7% · 118.9
J. Pope, N. Codie, T. Mark, M. Vokietaitis, D. Swain4% · 118.1
C. Heide, J. Pope, C. Weaver, M. Vokietaitis, D. Swain4% · 116.9
C. Heide, J. Pope, S. Wilcher, M. Vokietaitis, D. Swain4% · 114.4
C. Heide, J. Pope, T. Mark, M. Vokietaitis, D. Swain18% · 114.2
On floor share · net /100
Dailyn Swain83% · +2.8
Jordan Pope72% · +1.6
Tramon Mark71% · +1.8
Matas Vokietaitis66% · +1.0
Camden Heide57% · +1.2
Chendall Weaver52% · +2.0
Simeon Wilcher48% · +0.9
Lassina Traore26% · +1.0
Nic Codie22% · -0.9
Mon Nov 2
East Texas A&M68
Oklahoma81
Oklahoma by 12.582% wintotal 149.069 poss

East Texas A&M away

Projected points68.3
Off rating /100102.4
Def rating /100108.7
Net /100-6.3
Tempo (poss)69.7
Home edge /100+3.0
Units vs this opponent (usage, pts/100)
R. Harrison, G. Hunt, D. Garcia, V. Sigona, N. Pagotto4% · 102.1
J. Taylor, G. Hunt, D. Garcia, V. Sigona, N. Pagotto3% · 100.9
T. Mosher, R. Harrison, G. Hunt, D. Garcia, N. Pagotto16% · 100.8
L. Fields, R. Harrison, G. Hunt, D. Garcia, N. Pagotto4% · 97.3
J. Taylor, E. Phelps, G. Hunt, D. Garcia, N. Pagotto4% · 94.0
J. Taylor, E. Phelps, R. Harrison, G. Hunt, V. Sigona3% · 93.6
On floor share · net /100
Gianni Hunt83% · +0.2
Ronnie Harrison73% · -2.3
Damian Garcia67% · -0.8
Noah Pagotto66% · -0.4
Vinny Sigona44% · -1.6
Josh Taylor42% · -2.1
Evan Phelps33% · -2.8
Tay Mosher33% · -0.6
London Fields27% · -2.6

Oklahoma home

Projected points80.7
Off rating /100113.1
Def rating /100104.6
Net /100+8.5
Tempo (poss)69.1
Home edge /100+3.0
Units vs this opponent (usage, pts/100)
D. Reid, N. Pack, X. Brown, T. Davis, 2229005% · 120.3
D. Reid, N. Pack, X. Brown, M. Wague, J. Jones2% · 117.5
D. Reid, X. Brown, M. Wague, J. Jones, T. Davis3% · 117.1
D. Reid, N. Pack, X. Brown, M. Wague, T. Davis21% · 116.9
N. Pack, X. Brown, M. Wague, J. Jones, T. Davis4% · 116.6
D. Reid, N. Pack, X. Brown, J. Jones, T. Davis2% · 111.4
On floor share · net /100
Xzayvier Brown79% · +0.6
Nijel Pack76% · +3.8
Tae Davis74% · +1.5
Derrion Reid69% · -0.6
Mohamed Wague54% · +3.7
Jadon Jones43% · +2.8
Dayton Forsythe34% · +0.8
22290024% · +2.6
Jeff Nwankwo19% · -0.3
Mon Nov 2
Tennessee Tech74
Mississippi State79
Mississippi State by 5.565% wintotal 153.172 poss

Tennessee Tech away

Projected points73.8
Off rating /100104.2
Def rating /100107.3
Net /100-3.2
Tempo (poss)69.4
Home edge /100+3.0
Units vs this opponent (usage, pts/100)
B. Muntu, M. Cameron, G. Slatten, J. Nicholls, T. Owens11% · 104.9
B. Muntu, J. Nicholls, J. Florence, T. Owens, J. Whitted2% · 103.1
B. Muntu, D. Pounds, M. Cameron, T. Owens, J. Whitted4% · 102.5
B. Muntu, D. Pounds, M. Cameron, G. Slatten, T. Owens6% · 101.1
B. Muntu, D. Pounds, M. Cameron, J. Florence, T. Owens2% · 101.0
B. Muntu, D. Pounds, M. Ferguson, M. Cameron, T. Owens5% · 100.8
On floor share · net /100
Ty Owens72% · +0.8
Mekhi Cameron69% · -1.4
Brandon Muntu65% · -0.2
JaJuan Nicholls46% · +0.3
Dani Pounds44% · +0.2
Ja'Quavian Florence41% · -1.2
Grant Slatten36% · -0.7
Malik Ferguson31% · -2.1
Jacobe Whitted28% · -0.6

Mississippi State home

Projected points79.3
Off rating /100108.7
Def rating /100106.6
Net /100+2.1
Tempo (poss)72.0
Home edge /100+3.0
Units vs this opponent (usage, pts/100)
S. Jones Jr., J. Hubbard, Q. Ballard, J. Epps, S. Macura4% · 112.2
J. McGhee, S. Jones Jr., J. Hubbard, Q. Ballard, A. Achor7% · 110.1
J. McGhee, S. Jones Jr., J. Hubbard, J. Davis-Fleming, S. Macura4% · 108.7
S. Jones Jr., J. Hubbard, A. Achor, J. Epps, J. Davis-Fleming4% · 108.5
S. Jones Jr., J. Hubbard, Q. Ballard, A. Achor, J. Epps12% · 107.9
S. Jones Jr., J. Hubbard, J. Epps, J. Davis-Fleming, S. Macura5% · 106.9
On floor share · net /100
Josh Hubbard85% · +0.8
Shawn Jones Jr.64% · +0.1
Jayden Epps64% · -0.2
Ja'Borri McGhee55% · -0.1
Quincy Ballard51% · +2.4
Jamarion Davis-Fleming48% · +0.4
Achor Achor47% · +0.2
Sergej Macura40% · +0.8
King Grace20% · -0.8
Mon Nov 2
North Carolina Central69
Georgia85
Georgia by 16.288% wintotal 153.271 poss

North Carolina Central away

Projected points68.5
Off rating /100102.0
Def rating /100110.4
Net /100-8.4
Tempo (poss)67.8
Home edge /100+3.0
Units vs this opponent (usage, pts/100)
D. Johnson, K. Carvey, T. Carpenter, J. Slack, G. Lattimore9% · 99.9
K. Okworogwo, D. Johnson, K. Carvey, T. Carpenter, G. Lattimore6% · 96.7
K. Okworogwo, D. Johnson, T. Carpenter, J. Slack, G. Lattimore9% · 96.4
K. Okworogwo, D. Johnson, K. Davis, J. Slack, G. Lattimore13% · 94.5
K. Okworogwo, D. Johnson, K. Davis, T. Carpenter, G. Lattimore11% · 93.9
K. Okworogwo, K. Davis, R. Archey, J. Slack, G. Lattimore4% · 91.6
On floor share · net /100
Gage Lattimore89% · -2.0
Dionte Johnson82% · -0.3
Kelechi Okworogwo69% · -1.9
Tekao Carpenter62% · -1.9
Kyric Davis58% · -2.6
Jae Slack54% · -0.9
Khouri Carvey42% · -0.9
Ryan Archey14% · -6.7
Ramondo Battle II12% · -0.7

Georgia home

Projected points84.7
Off rating /100113.5
Def rating /100103.7
Net /100+9.8
Tempo (poss)72.8
Home edge /100+3.0
Units vs this opponent (usage, pts/100)
B. Cain, S. Cyril, M. Millender, K. Catchings, K. Stagg3% · 124.8
B. Cain, S. Cyril, M. Millender, J. Wilkinson, K. Catchings5% · 121.8
B. Cain, S. Cyril, M. Millender, J. Ross, K. Catchings3% · 121.3
B. Cain, S. Cyril, J. Ross, J. Wilkinson, K. Catchings13% · 120.2
B. Cain, S. Cyril, D. James, J. Ross, J. Wilkinson3% · 116.2
J. Abson, D. James, J. Bailey, M. Millender, J. Wilkins4% · 112.8
On floor share · net /100
Blue Cain69% · +3.2
Marcus Millender62% · +3.2
Jeremiah Wilkinson61% · +0.8
Kanon Catchings58% · +2.9
Somtochukwu Cyril53% · +3.6
Jordan Ross51% · +0.4
Dylan James37% · -0.4
Kareem Stagg30% · -0.1
Justin Bailey29% · +2.0
Mon Nov 2neutral
Miami74
Florida78
Florida by 4.563% wintotal 151.772 poss

Miami neutral

Projected points73.6
Off rating /100113.9
Def rating /100102.0
Net /100+11.9
Tempo (poss)69.6
Home edge /100+3.0
Units vs this opponent (usage, pts/100)
T. Donaldson, T. Washington, M. Reneau, S. Altuntas, S. Henderson3% · 102.5
T. Donaldson, E. Udeh Jr., T. Washington, M. Reneau, S. Henderson16% · 102.3
T. Donaldson, E. Udeh Jr., T. Washington, S. Henderson, T. Malovec4% · 102.1
T. Donaldson, T. Washington, M. Reneau, D. Allen, S. Henderson4% · 102.1
T. Donaldson, E. Udeh Jr., M. Reneau, D. Allen, S. Henderson15% · 101.8
T. Donaldson, T. Washington, M. Reneau, S. Henderson, T. Malovec3% · 100.0
On floor share · net /100
Tre Donaldson87% · +4.4
Shelton Henderson80% · +1.7
Malik Reneau75% · +2.5
Ernest Udeh Jr.65% · +3.4
Tru Washington62% · +1.8
Dante Allen51% · +1.3
Timotej Malovec36% · +0.6
Salih Altuntas17% · +0.8
Noam Dovrat17% · +2.1

Florida neutral

Projected points78.1
Off rating /100116.9
Def rating /10097.7
Net /100+19.2
Tempo (poss)71.6
Home edge /100+3.0
Units vs this opponent (usage, pts/100)
R. Chinyelu, T. Haugh, U. Klavzar, I. Brown, X. Lee4% · 113.6
A. Condon, T. Haugh, M. Handlogten, X. Lee, B. Fland8% · 110.9
A. Condon, T. Haugh, M. Handlogten, U. Klavzar, B. Fland8% · 110.7
A. Condon, R. Chinyelu, T. Haugh, U. Klavzar, B. Fland7% · 109.6
A. Condon, R. Chinyelu, T. Haugh, X. Lee, B. Fland28% · 105.6
A. Condon, R. Chinyelu, T. Haugh, U. Klavzar, X. Lee4% · 105.6
On floor share · net /100
Thomas Haugh86% · +4.8
Boogie Fland78% · +4.0
Alex Condon75% · +4.1
Xaivian Lee71% · +4.1
Rueben Chinyelu64% · +4.4
Urban Klavzar53% · +2.0
Micah Handlogten36% · +4.4
Isaiah Brown29% · +2.3
CJ Ingram5% · -0.5
Mon Nov 2
Lafayette69
Butler78
Butler by 8.975% wintotal 147.370 poss

Lafayette away

Projected points69.2
Off rating /100103.2
Def rating /100108.3
Net /100-5.1
Tempo (poss)68.7
Home edge /100+3.0
Units vs this opponent (usage, pts/100)
M. Butler, R. Pettit, C. Williams, A. Phillips, S. Jackson5% · 101.5
M. Butler, R. Pettit, C. Williams, A. Phillips, C. Humphrey-Rembert6% · 101.0
M. Butler, R. Pettit, A. Phillips, S. Jackson, C. Humphrey-Rembert4% · 98.0
M. Butler, C. Williams, A. Phillips, C. Humphrey-Rembert, L. Bevilacqua4% · 97.4
M. Butler, M. Bednostin, C. Williams, A. Phillips, C. Humphrey-Rembert6% · 97.0
M. Butler, C. Williams, A. Phillips, S. Jackson, C. Humphrey-Rembert27% · 96.4
On floor share · net /100
Mark Butler88% · -1.0
Andrew Phillips84% · -1.3
Caleb Williams80% · -1.4
Christian Humphrey-Rembert77% · -1.1
Shareef Jackson54% · -0.9
Ryan Pettit46% · +0.4
Misha Bednostin21% · -0.9
Kai Murdock18% · +0.6
Luke Bevilacqua15% · -3.4

Butler home

Projected points78.1
Off rating /100109.6
Def rating /100106.7
Net /100+2.9
Tempo (poss)70.3
Home edge /100+3.0
Units vs this opponent (usage, pts/100)
M. Ajayi, J. Kaiser Jr., F. Bizjack, D. Jones, J. Jackson4% · 114.9
M. Ajayi, J. Kaiser Jr., F. Bizjack, D. Jones, E. Oliogu-Elabor7% · 113.4
M. Ajayi, J. Kaiser Jr., F. Bizjack, D. Jones, A. Robinson10% · 112.2
M. Ajayi, Y. Butler, J. Kaiser Jr., F. Bizjack, Y. Traore4% · 111.2
M. Ajayi, J. Kaiser Jr., F. Bizjack, Y. Traore, E. Oliogu-Elabor5% · 108.4
M. Ajayi, E. Haywood, F. Bizjack, Y. Traore, E. Oliogu-Elabor4% · 106.4
On floor share · net /100
Michael Ajayi84% · +1.9
Finley Bizjack83% · +0.1
Jamie Kaiser Jr.69% · +0.8
Drayton Jones49% · +2.1
Yohan Traore47% · -1.1
Evan Haywood43% · -0.1
Yame Butler31% · +0.2
Azavier Robinson31% · +1.8
Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor30% · -1.9